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From: Recos <recos@who.eop.gov>
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<font face=3DTahoma size=3D2>
<b>From</b>: Brennan, John O.
<br><b>To</b>: Burke, John; Recos
<br><b>Sent</b>: Sun May 16 21:28:40 2010<br><b>Subject</b>: Deepwater Hori=
zon Update
<br></font><br></div>


<div class=3DSection1>

<p class=3DMsoNormal>On the mitigation front:<o:p></o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal>Riser Insertion Tube Tool (RITT) still in place at end=
 of
riser and seems to be working well, with some amount of hydrocarbons being
brought to surface.&nbsp; BP going slowly with rate and volume of extractio=
n,
as pressure within riser needs to be adjusted carefully and slowly. <o:p></=
o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal>&#8220;Top hat&#8221; (coffer dam) remains on the seab=
ed and
is standing by pending effectiveness of the RITT.&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal>On the stop the leak front:<o:p></o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal>&#8220;Top kill&#8221; (also referred to as &#8220;dyn=
amic
kill&#8221;) equipment being staged nearby and could be operationalized by
mid-week.&nbsp; This option involves inserting mud-like substance into the =
BOP
stack, with gravity pulling it down and clogging the choke points.&nbsp; Th=
is
option is considered more viable that a &#8220;junk shot,&#8221; which has
potential to create dangerous pressure build up.<o:p></o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal>Secretaries Salazar and Chu led a &#8220;scientists
summit&#8221; including a BP briefing on their proposed approach and a revi=
ew
of all scientific aspects of various well containment options.&nbsp; John
Holdren, Marcia McNutt, and leading scientists including from the Sandia, L=
os
Alamos, and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratories participated alongside=
 BP
scientists.&nbsp; The summit went very well.&nbsp; There is consensus formi=
ng
around the &#8220;top kill&#8221; approach, but Secretary Chu asked for som=
e
additional information.&nbsp; BP will continue to stage equipment in
anticipation of this approach and scientific discussions will continue.&nbs=
p;
There will be a &#8220;go/no go&#8221; scientific review prior to execution=
 of
the procedure. <o:p></o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'color:#1F497D'><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></span>=
</p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal>Secretary Chu and Lisa Jackson also are working with t=
he
scientific community to push back on the very misleading NYTimes article th=
at
ran today, which was prompted by a couple of academics speculating on the
origin and cause of the subsurface &#8220;blob&#8221; that has been detecte=
d in
the Gulf.&nbsp; &nbsp;The article raised again the specter of a much larger
flow of oil as well as a relationship between subsea dispersants and the
formation of the blob.&nbsp; Secretary Chu and Holdren are working on a
statement that would be released this week on the process used to determine=
 the
amount of oil released to date.&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<o:p></o:p></=
p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal>NOAA currently estimates that the oil is 20 or fewer m=
iles
from the Loop Current and -- though it is difficult to predict when the oil=
 may
enter the current because of its dynamic nature -- predictions for landfall=
 in
Florida and further movement into the Gulf Stream toward the East Coast cal=
l
for eight to ten days once the oil enters the Loop.&nbsp; The National Inci=
dent
Command is building a contingency plan to both protect the Florida coast an=
d
also to address the implications of an international oil spill management
effort if it appears that the oil will affect Cuba.&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p>&nbsp;</o:p></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New=
 Roman","serif"'>---------------------</span><span
style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'><o:p></o:p=
></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New=
 Roman","serif"'>John
O. Brennan</span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New Rom=
an","serif"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New=
 Roman","serif"'>&nbsp;&nbsp;Assistant
to the President for</span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Tim=
es New Roman","serif"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New=
 Roman","serif"'>&nbsp;
Homeland Security and Counterterrorism</span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0p=
t;
font-family:"Times New Roman","serif"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Times New=
 Roman","serif"'>&nbsp;
office: (202) 456-6317</span><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"T=
imes New Roman","serif"'><o:p></o:p></span></p>

<p class=3DMsoNormal><span style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Times New=
 Roman","serif"'>&nbsp;</span><o:p></o:p></p>

</div>

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